The RP Data Market Activity Index has leveled after peaking three weeks ago. The flattening of the growth curve indicates real estate professionals may have now moved through the frantic start to the year.
Industry Market Wrap
The Reserve Bank this week laid the foundations for further interest rate rises. Assistant Governor Philip Lowe summed up the domestic economic conditions quite succinctly.
“Employment growth has been robust, business and consumer confidence is above average, the housing market has been strong, and there are signs that the period of business deleveraging is coming to an end. Collectively, these outcomes provide us with some confidence that the economy is now in a reasonably solid upswing.”
With capacity constraints in the domestic economy becoming more apparent, unemployment trending downwards and such buoyant economic conditions, the prospect of further interest rate rises is a virtual certainty. Financial markets are suggesting another 50 basis points will be added to the cash rate by September this year taking the average variable mortgage rate to around 7.4% which is about the same as the ten year average.
Advertised Stock on the Market
Newly advertised properties remain higher than normal. Rpdata.com monitored just under 51,700 new real estate listings entering the market over the last four weeks which is about 5% higher than the 12 month average. The total number of properties being advertised for sale is now just under 210,000 homes. Based on the average number of sales over the last six months, the Australian market currently has about 5 months of supply.
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Latest National Auction Clearance Rates
There were 1,647 auctions held across the capitals last week with a 70 percent rate of clearance. Last week was the fourth week running where clearance rates were above 70%. Australia’s largest auction market, Melbourne, recorded a clearance rate of 84%.
Want to know the auction results for your local area? Log into rpdata.com and go the Auction Results panel on the top right corner of the home page.
Number of Properties Advertised for Rent The number of rental properties being advertised increase slightly during the most recent week thanks to an increase in new listings. The number of relistings actually fell suggesting that rental properties available are being taken up. In each state except Queensland the total number of current rental listings is below the number recorded a month ago.
Population breaks the 22 million mark
Australia’s ongoing population boom is creating opportunities as well as challenges. During the September quarter Australia’s residential population broke the 22 million mark. Fuelled by one of the highest population growth rates in the Western world, the number of Australian permanent residents was estimated to be 22,065,671 persons; 451,876 more than at the same time last year.
Population growth is an important indicator for the property market. At the macro scale, population growth is a default measure of housing demand. Put simply, more residents equate to a larger requirement for housing. The ongoing high rate of population growth is half of the reason why Australia has an ongoing shortage of housing.
Instead of a blog entry as such this week we thought we’d provide a number of thematic maps highlighting the average income by postcodes in Australia’s capital cities. This data was released this week by the Australian Tax Office and is based on data for the 2007-08 financial year.
A retail shop in Malvern, Victoria, is the first commercial investment to be sold by newly-established agency, Gorman Commercial.
The fitness centre at 299 Wattletree Road, Malvern, was sold at auction on a yield of approximately 4.1%.
Gorman Commercial managing director, Stephen Gorman, described the sale of the property for $990,000 as a strong result.
The 176 sqm building on a 284 sqm site is presently leased until November 2016 at a rate of $40,623 per annum net, with a five-year option to renew.
“Melbourne’s inner suburban shopping strip properties are noted for their investment appeal and I was anticipating bids for 299 Wattletree Road, Malvern, would be based on a yield of around 4.5% to 5%, representing $820,000 to $900,000,” said Mr Gorman.
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